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Japan’s

boffins:

Global

Warming

isn’t

man-made

By Andrew Orlowski

(Translation by

Charles Eicher)

February 25th, 2009

THEREGISTER.CO.UK

The Register (link)

_Part TWO of FOUR

 

 

(The IPCC ascribes the

positive change since 1975,

for the most part, to CO2 and

the Greenhouse Effect.)

This quasi-periodic cycle

fluctuates 0.1 degrees C per

10 years,

short term

(on the order of 50 years).

This quasi-periodic cycle’s

amplitude is extremely

pronounced in the Arctic Circle ,

so it is easy to understand.

The previous quasi-periodic

cycle was positive from

1910 to 1940 and negative

from 1940 to 1975

(despite CO2 emissions

rapid increase after 1946).

.

_____

.

Regardless of whether or

not the IPCC has sufficiently

researched natural variations,

they claim that CO2 has

increased particularly

since 1975.

Consequently,

after 2000,

although it should have

continued to rise,

atmospheric temperature

stabilised completely

(despite CO2 emissions

continuing to increase).

Since 1975 the chances of

increase in natural variability

(mainly quasiperiodic vibration)

are high;

moreover,

the quasiperiodic vibration

has turned negative.

For that reason,

in 2000 Global Warming stopped,

after that,

the negative cycle

will probably continue.

Regarding the current

temporary condition (la Nina)

JPL observes a fluctuation of

the quasiperiodic cycle

[JSER editor’s note:

this book is is still being

proofed as of 12/19].

So we should be cautious,

IPCC’s theory that atmospheric

temperature has risen since

2000 in correspondence with

CO2 is nothing but a hypothesis.

.

.

They should have verified this

hypothesis by supercomputer,

but before anyone noticed,

this hypothesis has been

substituted for “truth”.

This truth is not

observationally accurate

testimony.

This is sidestepping of

global warming theory

with quick and easy answers,

so the opinion that a great

disaster will really happen

must be broken.

It seems that global warming

and the halting of the temperature

rise are related to solar activity.

.

.

Currently,

the sun is “hibernating”.

The end of Sunspot Cycle 23

is already two years late:

the cycle should have

started in 2007,

yet in January 2008

only one sunspot appeared

in the sun’s northern hemisphere,

after that,

they vanished completely

(new sunspots have now

begun to appear in the

northern hemisphere).

At the current time,

it can clearly be seen there

are no spots in the photosphere.

Lately,

solar winds are at their

lowest levels in 50 years.

Cycle 24 is overdue,

and this is is worrisome.

So,

have there been other

historical periods with an

absence of sunspots?

As a matter of fact,

from 1650 to 1700 approximately,

there were almost no sunspots.

.

.

This time period has been

named for the renown English

astronomer Maunder,

and is called

the Maunder Minimum.

There is a relationship between

transported energy and the light

emissions from the photosphere

and sunspots.

It was thought that times

of few sunspots are times

of lower energy.

Satellites were launched

in 1980 to research this,

and results were contrary

to expectations.

It became clear that these

times were more energetic

than periods of high sunspots.

Periods of low sunspots have

vigorous solar activity.

.

.

The total change during sunspot

cycles is usually .0.1%, from

the Maunder Minimum to today

the increase is .05%.

The Maunder Minimum

fell in the middle of the period

of 1400-1800,

the Little Ice Age,

and it was theorized that

this was due to a cut in

solar emissions.

The theory is that solar activity

began to increase after that,

and from 1800 global warming

increased and recovery from

the Little Ice Age began.

But sunspot change and

climate change are not

clearly correlated.

Rather,

the cycle was not the

punctual 11 years,

scientific research indicates

that climate change is related

to that change.

.

_

.

Furthermore,

according to the IPCC’s

computational investigation,

this energy increase does not

significantly contribute

to global warming.

But then,

the IPCC insists that current

global warming correlates

to CO2,

solar influence is estimated

as minimal,

this calculation

should be redone.

This 0.1-0.5% is an enormous

sum of energy.

The energy of solar emissions

is not just light from the

photosphere.

Solar winds cause

geomagnetic storms,

yet comparisons of solar wind

and light energy to particle

emissions are rarely carried out.

Research into the relationship

between geomagnetic storms

and climate change has been

undertaken for

almost 100 years.

However,

because during this time,

this simple correlation has

not been seen,

no conclusion has been reached.

The super-hot temperatures

of geomagnetic storms higher

than 100 kilometers have

increased,

and the chances of the

stratospheric and tropospheric

transference are low.

.

.

Through the 11 year sunspot cycle,

ultraviolet rays vary considerably,

the ionosphere and ozone layer

are affected.

Whether or not this affects

the troposphere is unknown.

More research is necessary.

On the other hand,

cosmic rays continuously fall,

it seems that they constantly

seed comparatively low clouds.

The solar system may shield

us somewhat from Geomagnetic

storms caused by solar winds,

so called “magnetic clouds”

may shield us from

extrasolar cosmic rays,

so solar activity and climate

are in a complex relationship.

In this way,

climate change and solar

activity’s relationship is

inconclusive.

It is necessary to increase

research efforts into the

relationship between Earth’s

climate fluctuations

and solar activity.

.

.

___35 Inconvenient Truths:

__________Lord Monckton                Al Gore

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Related links in GREEN

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ClimateGate link in GREEN

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